The blog in a nutshell

The blog in a nutshell

Tuesday, March 29, 2016

In which I pretend that someone important reads my blog:

So after the oral argument today, it appears strongly possible, perhaps likely, that we are headed for a 4-4 split.


[Regarding what might happen in the Eighth Circuit:]

So no notice, fine.  But what if the government decides (properly, changing whatever regulations might otherwise disagree) that no notice is necessary?  Instead, as suggested in the objectors' brief to the Supreme Court, an individual's notice suffices.  And so the Michigan employee who is very upset calls and tells the HHS that they aren't providing the health care in question.  What then?
I think the right answer is that the Government can call the insurer or third-party administrator up and tell them they have to provide that coverage (or, heck, they can probably require the third party administrator, known as a TPA, or insurer do it even without notice, because the fact that the proposed coverage *doesn't* cover contraception is probably sufficient constructive notice).  Presumably, the insurer will then provide coverage.  

In a surprise move, today, the Court asked the following question:

The parties are directed to file supplemental briefs that address whether and how contraceptive coverage may be obtained by petitioners’ employees through petitioners’ insurance companies, but in a way that does not require any involvement of petitioners beyond their own decision to provide health insurance without contraceptive coverage to their employees. 
Petitioners with insured plans are currently required to submit a form either to their insurer or to the Federal Government (naming petitioners’ insurance company), stating that petitioners object on religious grounds to providing contraceptive coverage. The parties are directed to address whether contraceptive coverage could be provided to petitioners’ employees, through petitioners’ insurance companies, without any such notice from petitioners.  
For example, the parties should consider a situation in which petitioners would contract to provide health insurance for their employees, and in the course of obtaining such insurance, inform their insurance company that they do not want their health plan to include contraceptive coverage of the type to which they object on religious grounds. Petitioners would have no legal obligation to provide such contraceptive coverage, would not pay for such coverage, and would not be required to submit any separate notice to their insurer, to the Federal Government, or to their employees. At the same time, petitioners’ insurance company—aware that petitioners are not providing certain contraceptive coverage on religious grounds—would separately notify petitioners’ employees that the insurance company will provide cost-free contraceptive coverage, and that such coverage is not paid for by petitioners and is not provided through petitioners’ health plan.
The parties may address other proposals along similar lines, avoiding repetition of discussion in prior briefing.

Such a solution would invariably not solve the "hijacking" burden that objectors claim because insurance would still be provided through "their insurer."   It would instead be based on the "notice" objection that got no play during oral argument, except to the extent objectors said that relief on that ground alone would be insufficient.

Here's what I don't think happened.  I don't think there are any Justices who reject the "hijacking" theory but buy the "notice" theory of substantial burden.  But I do think they are looking at the Eighth Circuit decision, which did precisely that.  And now they have to solve the question about what to do about it.  A decision that requires them to conform to the Eighth Circuit's reasoning, but no further, could create uniformity and resolve chaos.  A fifth vote - or more - might coalesce on that ground, because conservatives are unlikely to do any better, even in the Eighth Circuit,* and liberals allow the government a way to ensure that another accommodation does not get struck down.  For the liberals to get on board, however, they must believe that such an accommodation can work in practice.  

So I think the objectors' brief won't be very interesting.  But the government's brief will likely be very interesting, because the government has a real decision about whether to stick to its guns and risk a 4-4 split, or allow the regulation to be rewritten (which takes time, and during which there may be no accommodation), and maybe get a majority.

*The Eighth Circuit technically did not reach the "hijacking" question, so in theory if the notification "burden" is eliminated, someone might still be able to challenge that in the Eighth Circuit after a 4-4 affirmation, and the Eighth Circuit might rule that even without notice, the contraception accommodation remains a substantial burden that is not narrowly tailored.  But so much would have to happen before such a ruling (whose geographic applicability is questionable), that keeping the possibility alive may not be worth the effort from the eyes of some conservative Justices.

UPDATE:  On thinking about it, there appears to be at least the possibility that the Court might coalesce around some alternate-hijacking argument, where as long as the insurer does something to segregate the contraception coverage from the rest of the coverage in some superficial way, there is no "hijacking."  I don't think this really helps, because what the objectors are really asking for is a right to contract with their insurers in a way to require them not to issue contraception coverage to their employees.  But it's possible that the objectors might strategically retreat to get a minor victory.  Unlikely, but worth reading the objectors' brief for that reason.

Friday, March 25, 2016

RFRA Can't Require the ACA to Change

There have been a couple of responses to a series of questions by Justice Alito at oral argument in the Zubik Contraception Cases, where Alito suggests using the exchanges as an alternative to the accommodation, so that the accommodation is not "narrowly tailored."

I agree with Professors Dorf and Lederman that this is wrong, not just factually, but legally.  But I think they're making the point in a slightly less straightforward and strong way than I would make the point.

Thus, something prohibited under the statute can't be an alternative to an accommodation under the ACA.  Assuming the interest is compelling, the statute contemplated that it be fulfilled.  And the statute could not have contemplated an alternative solution that is inconsistent with its clear text.  The details are actually relevant:  One possible solution the objectors put forth is that perhaps contraception coverage can be put out on the exchanges.  

But the ACA forbids that kind of partial coverage on the exchanges.  In any event, employees who get coverage through their employers are not eligible for subsidies on the exchanges, and there are other critical limits in the ACA regarding the extent of subsidies in this kind of unexpected scenario. 

JUSTICE ALITO: Couldn't the Executive deal with the problem of what's available on the Exchanges at the present time in this way: Policies are available that provide comprehensive coverage. Could the Executive say, as a matter of our enforcement discretion, we are not going to take any action against  insurers who offer contraceptive­ only policies, and in  fact, we are going to subsidize those insurers at 115 percent, just as we do in the situation of the self-­insured plans?
But this is a less serious argument.  Although Professor Dorf ultimately and correctly finds the argument wanting, he gives it too much credit.  It is one thing to say that, in practice, it is possible that the government can allow an unlawful black market for contraception coverage to go on in the marketplace, creating an alternative way to provide effective contraception coverage--and yes, it's about as unlikely to be effective as it sounds.  But it's quite another to say that Congress contemplated this in passing the ACA, when its text plainly *forbids* it.  And if Congress did not contemplate it, one cannot say that the ACA intended to forbid the kind of accommodation the government put forth here because of its potential existence.  Because, at the end of the day, while we are discussing what RFRA means, what we are fundamentally construing is still the ACA itself.

In other words, regardless of the President's powers, it is only Congress' intent that matters.  Thus, while commentator Hashim claims that maybe Alito was trying to make the United States give a fatal confession on the immigration cases, it's really two different issues.  The Immigration cases relate to the government's ability to formally de-prioritize or even ignore Congress's instructions, while the issue here is whether Congress could have itself intended an outcome it expressly forbade.  

And Now for Something Completely Different: EPL Soft Salary Caps

About these soft salary caps.  These salary caps are not the result of negotiations with a union, right? I'm no expert on EU or British antitrust law, but this is blatant price fixing, right?  Somebody please explain why this is legal?

Thursday, March 24, 2016

A right you don't have can't get hijacked

So in the Zubik (contraceptive cases) oral argument, the idea that signing a form was a substantial burden did not appear to get far.  Yet, it looked like the objectors are going to get 4 votes.  As smart commentators explained, the reason is because the conservative Justices appear to accept that the substantial burden is having their plans "hijacked" by the government.

This is wrong.  This is just another way of saying that the government is preventing them from imposing their religion on others by contract.  Let me explain.

First, as Justice Breyer pointed out at oral argument, the plan "infrastructure" that is allegedly getting hijacked belongs to the insurer.  This seems like a pretty debatable and abstract point, but what it means is that the insurance cards, the management team, the paperwork, etc. - everything that is used to make sure you don't have to pay for your doctor's visit - is all the property of the insurer or the third-party administrator.  The only thing the insured or self-insured does is write checks, and the system is set up so that none of the checks go to pay for contraceptive care.

Still, I think a hypothetical here will color the point, and explain what is really going on.  

Religious University is a (fictional) catholic school that has a sincere religious belief that contraception use is immoral.  They contract with TPA Insurance to be either their insurer or their third-party administrator - for this purpose, it doesn't really matter which.  But what are they actually contracting for?

They're contracting with TPA to provide, in return for money, certain coverage.  They want TPA to cover things like wellness visits, cancer, flu shots, and pregnancy (well, the type that ends in a healthy baby, anyway).  But not included in this coverage is contraception coverage.  Fine.

So the TPA, as the contractee/agent. provides these services.  But they also like their customers, so they give out a $5 Starbucks gift card.  The Starbucks card isn't part of the coverage provided by Religious University, it's just an add-on that the TPA is providing at no cost to Religious U.*

Okay, so they aren't $5 Starbucks gift cards.  Instead, the free gift is contraceptive care.  Religious University objects!  This is outrageous!  We're a Catholic institution, and we don't support contraception.  But TPA isn't a Catholic institution, and it is TPA that is giving away the contraception.  Of course, Religious University could contract with TPA ex ante to make them forebear from giving away contraceptive care.  But that doesn't change the nature of who was giving the contraceptive care in the first place.  And what such a contract would be is the imposition of Religious University's beliefs on TPA by contract.  Now, there's nothing wrong with that in the abstract.  But as the Laycock brief explained, RFRA simply does not go that far.  And when the Supreme Court talk about "hijacking a plan," that's really what they are talking about.  Take it away, Professor:

The regulations in these cases do not substantially burden petitioners’ religious exercise. Petitioners have been wholly exempted from providing contraception themselves. They object to the government delivering contraception separately, with segregated funds and segregated communications, through petitioners’ secular insurers.  
Petitioners’ briefs make clear that they would object even if they were wholly unregulated. Suppose government repealed all regulation of employers, and required only that insurers and third-party administrators of employer-sponsored plans provide contraception separately from those plans. These petitioners would say that this regulation of their secular insurers substantially burdened the religious exercise of insuring their employees.  
Petitioners’ objection is not saved by saying that they cannot provide contact information for their insurers, or that they cannot contract with insurers that provide contraception. No matter how they phrase it, they are objecting to the government’s regulation of their secular insurers. This case is ultimately like Bowen v. Roy: government need not conform its own affairs—whether insurance regulation or record keeping—to petitioners’ religious understandings. 

One other thing.  What Religious University is objecting to here is TPA's not acting in an appropriate Catholic manner, by giving away contraception care (as mandated by the ACA, to be sure).  But Religious University is not objecting to the TPA not acting completely in accord with Religious University's tenets.  Religious University also has a RFRA-based anti-discrimination exception (let's say) to hire only co-religionists.  Religious University doesn't make their employees work on Sundays.  And yet, something tells me, they don't require their "plan" to be solely worked on by fellow Catholics.  They're okay if TPA has employees working to support the "plan" on Sunday.  

I don't doubt the hypothetical Religious University, or any of the actual objectors in these cases, have a sincere religious conviction that contraception care is immoral.  But I don't think they are being sincere in that the objection is merely to the contraception being furnished by a party they have a contractual relationship with.  Rather, they object to their employees getting health care.  And they're defining that strategically, in order to make it as hard as possible for their employees to get that health care.  Liberals with their pluralism and conservatives with their support of religion should get behind the basic concept of reasonable opt-outs of generally-applicable laws.  But when RFRA is gamed like this, it destroys the broad support for RFRA and imperils its continued existence.

* If Religious U. was Mormon, would they have a right to object?  Absent government regulation, I'm sure they could put that in a contract:  no Starbucks gift cards.  But, as this post explains, the question is whether RFRA would permit a law banning such a contract.  (UPDATE:  To clarify, Mormons do not drink coffee.)

Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Even Justices get it wrong

CHIEF JUSTICE ROBERTS: Well, the way constitutional objections work is you might have to change current law.

Uhhh, Mister Chief Justice - there's no constitutional objection in play here.  The issue is a question of how to interpret the requirements of the ACA in light of the existence of RFRA.  So yeah, no.

So what if it is 4-4

If the Supreme Court is deadlocked, at 4-4, all the decisions are affirmed without any precedent set.  In the Contraception Cases, as far as I am aware, the 3rd, 5th, 6th, 7th, 10th, and D.C. circuits have all ruled for the government, and the 8th Circuit has ruled against the government.  I am not sure if  the 1st, 4th, or 9th Circuits have reached any decision, but given the tilt of those Circuits, they'd be likely to join the majority (either in a panel decision or en banc*).  The Second Circuit rarely goes en banc, so it is possible that a conservative panel could hear the case first, decide the issue, and then the 2nd Circuit will just let that be the law; but unless the 4-4 split is resolved soon, I would bet this would be the exceptional case the 2nd Circuit does take en banc. 

Normally, a circuit split isn't a problem, because the connection between what the law is and who must follow it is pretty straightforward.  A rule that conduct A is criminal in the Fifth Circuit but not in the Eighth Circuit means that the conduct is lawful in one but not the other.  

But the problem is, the same conduct is often subject to the jurisdiction of multiple courts.  If you sell your product on the internet, and ship to all fifty states, you might be sued (or criminally prosecuted even) for that conduct in any court.  And unlike state law, there is no "choice of law" analysis regarding circuit splits.  If the Fifth Circuit thinks that 18 USC XXXX makes certain conduct a crime, it won't excuse that conduct merely because the criminal case could also have been brought in another Circuit that disagreed.  

So, what is the result?  Well, if someone wants to commit certain conduct that only the Fifth Circuit thinks is criminal, it can do so unless done in a way that would give the Fifth Circuit jurisdiction.  Likewise, if some conduct is considered subject to punitive damages in the Fourth Circuit but not the Fifth Circuit, and someone commits an act that would subject him to suit in the Fourth or Fifth Circuit, then whether or not he faces punitive damages or not depends on where the plaintiff sues him, and whether he can get a change of venue.

What does this mean for the religious  objectors?  I am not entirely sure.  In these cases, the claims were all brought by the objectors against the government, seeking a declaratory judgment that they don't have to sign the notice at issue.  So what happens then?  It depends.

First, it's theoretically possible that the government can bring an enforcement action against certain subjects that do business in the Eighth Circuit and another jurisdiction, making sure to bring the case in the other jurisdiction.  But knowing that, entities that want to avoid the accommodation and still deny their employees contraceptive care can preempt this and bring a declaratory judgment act against the government in the Eighth Circuit.  I'm not 100% sure the federal government is bound by these decisions in later enforcement actions, but I suspect the federal government wouldn't choose these cases to press the issue in any event.

So, at first glance, it's pretty simple.  Those companies who do business in the Eighth Circuit can get a declaratory judgment that they don't have to sign the form, and everyone else has to comply with the accommodation.

But does that resolve the matter?  Not quite, for three reasons.  First, it isn't clear what connection, if any one needs to the Eighth Circuit to bring a declaratory judgment action.  Second, the declaratory judgment action between the federal government and the objecting party only binds the federal government.  And third, it's not clear--due, in part, to the objectors own obfuscation of what they are trying to accomplish--what relief the objectors would be entitled to.

Let's look at one of the Eighth Circuit, plaintiffs, Cornerstone University.


Cornerstone University is based out of Grand Rapids, MI.  Yes, that's the same Cornerstone University.  The Eighth Circuit doesn't cover Michigan; the Sixth Circuit does.  The Sixth Circuit ruled that the contraception accommodation does not violate RFRA.  Why is this case before the Eighth Circuit?  To be honest, I have no clue.  The best I can think of is that the government didn't bother to challenge venue in the case.  But I'm not a jurisdiction expert and I don't have the whole case file.  Maybe it's always possible to challenge a government regulation anywhere, so that the government cannot challenge venue.  If so, everyone can file a declaratory judgment against the United States in the Eighth Circuit- I honestly don't know.  If someone knows more, please comment and I will update.


So Cornerstone University got its declaratory relief.  But now one of its employees doesn't have health care.  Can he sue?  Probably not.  The penalty for non-compliance with the coverage mandates is a tax penalty, but I'm not aware of a private cause of action.  So that won't help the Michigan employer.  Again, please let me know if I am wrong here and I will update.


What right does the Eighth Circuit award?  This is the rub.  The litigants have been as careful as they can not to frame their claimed burden as an inability to control third-parties from acting.  They've been entirely vague, using weasel words such as "facilitate" to avoid the fact that what they object to is what some other party is doing.  The closest thing the Eighth Circuit came to announcing exactly what the burden involved was, that Objectors "argue that they 'must still submit a document that they believe wrongfully facilitates the delivery of such coverage.'"  Sure, the litigants have argued to the Supreme Court that even requiring their contractee to provide coverage hijacks their contract, but this argument was not accepted by the Eighth Circuit, and a 4-4 decision would leave no analysis (binding or not).

So no notice, fine.  But what if the government decides (properly, changing whatever regulations might otherwise disagree) that no notice is necessary?  Instead, as suggested in the objectors' brief to the Supreme Court, an individual's notice suffices.  And so the Michigan employee who is very upset calls and tells the HHS that they aren't providing the health care in question.  What then?

I think the right answer is that the Government can call the insurer or third-party administrator up and tell them they have to provide that coverage (or, heck, they can probably require the third party administrator, known as a TPA, or insurer do it even without notice, because the fact that the proposed coverage *doesn't* cover contraception is probably sufficient constructive notice).  Presumably, the insurer will then provide coverage.  

Now, one of five things, four interesting, can happen.

One, the insurer/TPA can do what its told.  

Two, the objector can sue either the government or the insurer/TPA, claiming that this provision by the third party violates their rights.  But I think that would nakedly call out what the objectors are doing here, and the Eighth Circuit opinion does not go so far to validate such a claim.  

Three, the insurer/TPA - presumably based on a threat from the objector that they will withdraw the plan - can refuse, and the government *might* be able to bring a claim against the insurer/TPA.  I'm again not sure here, so if someone knows the details, please let me know and I will update.  But my guess is that they likely can, otherwise the insurers would have little reason to provide these this coverage under the accommodations now - after all, the insurers have to do so without recovery of cost the insurers.  The TPAs get reimbursed, but cannot make a profit, and could still be pressured by the objector to disobey if there was no legal repercussion.

Four, the same situation as three could arise but they could bring a claim against the objectors for their interference.  But such interference might be hard to prove.  And presumably, if the insurers are not subject to repercussion then it also isn't illegal for the objectors to encourage non-cooperation.  And if they are, then the government would just go after the insurers.

And five, the government can decide that the objector's plan is not qualified, and deny the tax credit.  Then the objector will bring a claim (or defend one, depending how it plays out) on the basis that they provided health care to the best that they religiously believed.  The government will argue that it was the interference, not the provision of health care, which led to the denial.  I think this argument probably ends up in the objector's favor here.  If contraception *is* part of the package, that matches up perfectly with the framing of the objectors, and in that case they probably *should* win under Hobby Lobby.

This post isn't intended to give answers, exactly.  If it did, I suspect I failed.  Rather, it points out the uncertainty of a split decision and the need for uniformity here.  The failure of uniformity could lead to a certain level of chaos and unpredictable results that I think the Supreme Court should be very careful about before deciding to split 4-4.

* En banc means decided by the court as a whole.  Assuming jurisdiction, the vast majority of appeals are heard by the circuit courts as a matter of right in 3 judge panels.  If one objects to the decision, they can petition the courts of appeal to hear the case as a whole.  This is what en banc is.  It is entirely discretionary, much like appeals to the Supreme Court in most cases.  If a panel decision is not heard en banc, it is binding on all future panels of that circuit, unless the case goes en banc or if it is overruled by the Supreme Court.

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Amicus briefs in the Supreme Court (Contraception Cases)

There's a really interesting amicus brief in the contraception cases being heard about this week.  You can read the brief here, a shortened version here, and some discussion here and here.  But I want to talk about why this brief is so important in a slightly different context.

Amicus briefs are a relatively rare breed in lower courts, but they are commonplace before the Supreme Court.  For those who are unfamiliar with the term, an amicus brief is a brief written by a non-party trying to persuade the Court to come to a certain outcome.  (Amicus is latin for friend, and the briefs are sometimes referred to as "friend of the court" briefs).  Although Amicus Briefs usually support one party or the other, that's not always the case - an Amicus Brief can be filed on behalf of "neither party."  More on that in a bit.

While usually the filer has some interest in the legal issue (think a labor union in a labor case involving a different labor union), that alone is not reason to file a brief in the normal case.  After all, there's already a brief being filed by typically a very good advocate who has the same goals you have.  Even if money isn't important, replicating the party's brief does no good and wastes the Court time.

Yet there are several reasons entities file amicus briefs.

1 - This really isn't, in theory, a good reason to do it, but sometimes organizations file it for the publicity.  They can use it to fundraise (if they are a nonprofit) or to raise their own presence, either in the legal community or more broadly.

2 - Also, sometimes what happens in these cases is a law firm simply wants to file an amicus brief to raise the law firm or lawyer's own reputation.  In that case, they'll often front all the costs, and simply persuade someone who agrees with the law firm's position to sign on.  Again, not really that helpful to the Court, but it happens.

3 - Sometimes a group with a similar interest thinks the party just did a bad job.  Maybe the brief didn't address the right issues, or maybe the brief was just really difficult to read.  So sometimes, in that rare case, the amicus really does want to replicate what the party SHOULD HAVE done, but did not.

4 - Sometimes, perhaps coordinated, an amicus brief wants to take on an issue tangential to the case, or delve into a sub-issue in the brief in a greater level of detail then the initial briefs do.  Sometimes that is done to "scare" the Court from making an adverse ruling, by discussing the potential repercussions of that reading.  Or sometimes it's just over-the-top legal wonkery.

5 - Sometimes an entity has some specialized expertise, often non-legal expertise, that is important to the issue.  They want to present that expertise to the Court to help understand how the law interacts with the facts.  This is known as a Brandeis Brief.

6 - Sometimes the parties' entities aren't exactly the same.  Let's take the labor example.  One labor union might represent, say, state government employees, and are asking the Court for a broad interpretation of a statute that applies generally.  Another union might represent private employees, and they may want a similar reading of the statute, but they know the Court is skeptical of giving it to state employees.  What does the private union do?  One thing it can do is try to come up with an alternative framework for the Court, so it can accept the employee union's claim without reaching the issue in a way that might hurt the private employees. 

7 - Or it can be a sort of false friend.  It can suggest in a brief that the statute be read the way it prefers as to private parties, but maybe not to public parties.  Depending on how this is written, that brief can literally take no position on the merits - in which it is probably filed on behalf of neither party.  Or it can even take an adverse position to the other union.

This brings us to the Laycock Brief, which is a perfect example of this "adverse position" possibility.  Doug Laycock is a law professor, and a prominent legal conservative with an expertise in religious law.  In concept, he absolutely supports the Religious Freedom Restoration Act.  Indeed, he probably supports the most expansive rights for religious dissenters and objectors that he thinks is possible.

And yet he files a brief, on behalf of the Baptist Joint Committee for Religious Liberty, on behalf of the government, not the religious entities in this case!  Why?  Well, because he's afraid.  Specifically, he's afraid that if the government loses this case, the political response will outweigh the benefit of the ruling:

Petitioners also argue that because the government voluntarily exempted churches and their insurers, making no effort to provide contraception to church employees by alternative means, it is required to give the same exemption to all religious non-profits and their insurers. Such a rule would be a mortal threat to the common and important practice of legislatures and administrative agencies enacting specific religious exemptions. If legislators or administrators believe that any narrow religious exemption will automatically lead to a much broader religious exemption, many of them will not enact any exemptions at all.  
The regulations at issue in these cases represent a sophisticated and good-faith effort to exempt petitioners from any obligation to provide contraception, while requiring secular insurers to provide it instead. Petitioners’ claim is not just that they should be relieved from providing contraception—a claim we would support without reservation. Petitioners claim that their secular insurers should be exempt as well. And that claim reaches too far.
 Now, a few thoughts:

First, I happen to disagree with the outcome in Hobby Lobby.  Laycock and his client agree with that case.  Nevertheless, I happen to think he's otherwise right on the merits in this case.  But I think his brief is going to have a major effect on this case merely from its signal.  The Justices know Laycock, professionally if not personally.  Along with his academic work, he's argued a number of RFRA and First Amendment cases, always on behalf of the "religious liberty" side.  Even in cases he has not argued personally, he's at least filed a brief in practically every RFRA case (again, on behalf of religious liberty), including Hobby Lobby.  If he's saying that the Court is going too far, that's going to be an important signal for the Court.

Second, his view of the political blowback from a decision against the government is not universally shared by politically conservative pro-RFRA advocates.  There are almost an excessive number of advocates who have filed amicus briefs on behalf the objectors in this case.  (To be fair, there are an excessive number of amicus briefs on both sides.) 

Third, by filing such a brief, Laycock and his counsel get an amazing kind of influence.  The conservative wing is already ideologically disposed to agree with him, and the liberal wing is supportive of the outcome he is pushing in this case.  This allows him to provide the contours of a decision for the government in a way that promotes his conservative, more expansive view of RFRA. Again, from the brief:

Each of these formulations is a demand for absolute deference on the substantial-burden issue. This cannot be right. But it contains important elements of truth. Courts cannot question petitioners’ sincere religious beliefs. If petitioners sincerely say the burden in these cases is substantial, then it is substantial to them. And that is a fact entitled to great weight. 
But substantial to the believer is not inevitably the same as substantial in law. Courts must ultimately decide whether the burden is legally substantial within the meaning of the statute. Petitioners are entitled to substantial deference on that issue. They cannot be entitled to absolute deference.
The issue Laycock is discussing is whether, when a plaintiff says that they have a religious belief, and that conduct "substantially impairs" that belief, the Court should defer to whether the government regulation being challenged actually and substantially impairs their beliefs.  I agree--and I think Laycock does too--that the contours of their belief are entitled to absolute deference.  But where I part with Laycock is whether they are entitled to *any* deference at all as to whether the government regulation substantially burdens that belief.  And this is important because hidden behind this question is a very important question, which is: what kinds of "beliefs" are subject to RFRA at all.

Let me take an extreme hypothetical, then let me bring this back to the actual facts of the case, and then let me take this to a more narrow hypothetical, to see how the distinction matters.  

One, the extreme hypothetical:  I used in a prior version a particularly zealous Jew who believes everyone should be forced to keep Kosher, so that he can go around stealing other people's pork (or killing pigs, or whatever).  He wants to be exempt from general prohibitions that encompass this conduct.  RFRA will certainly protect the interest that this person should not be forced to eat pork.  At least under Hobby Lobby, it probably protects him from a regulation that would require him to sell pork, if he were a grocer.  But RFRA is not designed to protect at all the religious belief:  "I believe that other people should not be allowed to eat pork."  It doesn't matter if the pain of seeing other people eat pork is truly so hard on his religious beliefs that it causes him physical pain.  Even if the government did not have a compelling interest in allowing others to eat pork, it's not a right RFRA is supposed to protect.  That is not religious freedom--if anything, it is the opposite.  (I think Laycock agrees with all of this, to be fair.)

Two, the actual facts:  As Laycock explains, the heart of the objectors religious belief is that they want to "control their secular insurance companies and the government’s regulation of those companies."  Specifically, they think that making their insurers provide contraceptive coverage burdens their own religious belief.  RFRA simply does not protect this interest at all.  Thus, the government regulations do not "substantially burden" the objectors' religious beliefs no matter how general or specific they couch that belief.  It does nothing to burden their belief about the wrongness of contraception generally, or the lack of morality of being "complicit" in their use, or their belief that it is wrong to have their insurer provide it specifically.  (I think Laycock agrees with this as well.)

Three, let's take a more narrow facts - actual facts from Hobby Lobby.  In that case, Hobby Lobby did not object to all contraceptives, just "abortifacients," which they specifically define as those that terminate an embryo.  But the contraception they objected to provided actually did not do that.  Hobby Lobby was wrong on something they do not claim is an instruction from God, but merely a scientifically-provable fact.  I think Laycock would think that we need to defer to the plaintiff's sincere (but not "religious") belief that forcing them to cover the contraception in question violated their religious beliefs.  I would disagree.  

Now, perhaps Hobby Lobby itself can be read to have answered this question.  But maybe not.  Even if it did, that case was 5-4 and may not be around very long.  But if a Court follows Laycock's analysis here, then it might set in stone the very kind of reasoning that may expand religious liberty in a subtle way that a majority of the Court might not otherwise support.  And regardless of whether I agree with Laycock or not, that is very good advocacy indeed.

UPDATE:  Sensing the danger, Ed Whelan of the National Review attacks the Laycock brief in two blog posts.  Since I'm not focused on the details of the argument here, I will only note that Whelan's response essentially ignores or miscasts Laycock's argument.  Meanwhile, while insisting that the burden here falls on the objectors, as opposed to the objectors'insurers or TPAs, Whelan's explanation, if you can call it that, relies on weasel words (e.g., "facilitates," "complicity," "involvement"), conjecture ("might"), economic analysis that ignores how the ACA applies (the argument regarding money being fungible ignores the price controls on the ACA), and simply assuming the legal issue at issue ("the entire arrangement still depends completely on the government’s conscription of the employer’s health plan and contractual relationships").  Safe to say, I would assume Laycock would not agree that RFRA gives one an enforceable legal interest in imposing its religious beliefs on others via contract.

Wednesday, March 16, 2016

Merrick Garland qua settlement proposal

Merrick Garland is likely a moderate Democratic nominee, who, at 63, will have a term that is likely decades shorter than other potential choices.  He may even be to the right of Scalia on some criminal justice issues.  He certainly is not the pick of a Democratic President with the advantage of a Democratic Senate.  He is likely not even the type of pick a new Democratic President would pick if the Republican party maintained control of the Senate.

He is, thus, a settlement offer.  Take this now, or risk a younger and more liberal choice later.

But, like all settlement proposals, it is clear there must be a time limit on the GOP's ability to accept.  In this case, there must be some point at which Obama will withdraw the nomination.  And that point should be explicitly tied to the odds of the Democratic nominee (likely Clinton) winning the nomination.  


First, let's put aside the not-believable notion that the GOP is refusing to hold a hearing out a matter of principle, and that they would do so even if Scalia had handpicked his successor.  The reason the GOP is refusing to hold hearings is not out of any constitutional principle, even as there is no hard constitutional rule that requires them to hold hearings.  This is merely politics, albiet one that mildly upsets the norms upon which the effectiveness and legitimacy of the Constitutional system are founded.  It is, what Professor Tushnet calls, "Constitutional Hardball."

Now, in an ordinary settlement proposal, there are actual or implied time limits for a reason.  If one could extend a settlement proposal forever, there is no reason to take the offer until the judgment is effectively final anyway.  If the settlement is more favorable than the judgment, then and only then would you take it.

In civil litigation, this means that settlement can and does frequently happen right up until the eve a result becomes relatively certain, such as a motion on summary judgment or a verdict.  (Often, settlement happens on the verge of trial, but this is only because of the expense of trial itself.)  But in those cases, there's a good deal of uncertainty right up until the moment the result comes out.  And, at that moment, the offer vanishes.

In Presidential elections, it is quite different.  By the time the new President is sworn in, election day has been over for months.  Even on Election Day, polling has made the vast majority of elections foregone conclusions.  Other than the most hardened partisan, most people knew the outcome of the 2012, 2008, 1996, 1992, 1988, 1984, 1980, 1976, 1972, 1968, and 1964 elections before the voting began in earnest.  The only two exceptions since 1960 were, then, 2000 - in which we weren't sure of the next President even after Election Day, and 2004, in which the markets predicted a George Bush election, but without certainty, and the end result was relatively close.

2016 is even less likely than the typical election to be close.  Feelings about the likely Democratic nominee are mostly polarizing and well known.  Meanwhile the Republicans are set to either nominate an incredibly polarizing figure in Donald Trump, or a very conservative figure in Ted Cruz.  Both are likely to lose, and both are likely to result in very little fluidity in polling.   In other words, we should have a good handle on who the presumptive President is by the end of the last debate, where hard polling is likely to be quite predictive.  Indeed, we'll have a pretty good idea of who will be President in the first rounds of polling after the conventions.

And there's another "decision point" for the GOP even earlier.  As soon as the identity of the GOP nominee is decided, whether at the convention or otherwise, the stakes change for a different reason as well.  This is because, while Ted Cruz (or Kasich or a "savior" candidate such as Mitt Romney or Paul Ryan) are likely to nominate a reliable conservative to the Supreme Court, Trump is a bit of a wild card.  His populist politics and his love of theatrics may make a nomination of his 78 year old politically liberal sister, an oddball nominee such as Judge Judy, a moderate such as Brian Sandoval, a fundamentalist populist such as Roy Moore, and a standard conservative such as Diane Sykes or Bill Pryor equally likely.  Some of these outcomes might be less preferable to a 63 year old Garland.

If Obama allows the nomination to sit, it might get taken up at a point in which the realistic choice for the GOP is between Garland or a less palatable choice.  At that point, Obama may not want Garland to be up for consideration.  Settling for Garland now makes sense; settling for him with Nina Pillard waiting in the wings does not.  In order to make Obama's compromise offer a true compromise offer, and in order to give it the best chance to be considered now, Obama must make clear that it has an expiration date.  And he should coordinate with the Clinton campaign as to when that expiration date is.

UPDATE:  This should come to no surprise.  "Hey, we agree to accept your settlement if we lose"  This obviously should be responded to with a snort and a no.  Unfortunately, Obama seems open to the idea.  If so, Democrats--and, in particular, Hillary Clinton herself--should pressure Obama to make this a limited-time offer.  It may be the only hope Garland has to be confirmed before November; and if Clinton calls on Democratic Senators not to confirm Garland in a lame-duck session, it might be Garland's only hope of being confirmed at all.